As you well know, it certainly has been mild around here for the past several days. We crawled out of the deep Arctic freeze early in the month of January, only to find a long stretch of above average and above freezing temps for nearly 8 days now!
For most of our region, the daily high temp has been above 32 (and above average for that matter) since last Tuesday, January 7. With the "peak" of "warmth" over this past weekend and today, even the overnight low temperatures stayed above freezing for some of the wider/warmer valleys!
This has certainly put a dent in our snowpack across the region. Take a look at this comparison of snow data from NOAA (left) from last Tuesday, to Tuesday January 14th! While the mountains still certainly have snow on the ground, they lost about a foot of snow over the warm streak. The Champlain Valley now has green grass once again as many areas have lost all but their snow piles leftover from the snow plow trucks.
So, will we get the snow back? It's almost certain. While there is no imminent threat of any big snow storms in the near future, we are certainly getting back to a colder, more January-like temperature trend over the next couple of weeks at least. Beginning Tuesday, Jan 15, temps will take a turn, starting the downward trend. While Tuesday and Wednesday will still feature above average temps (in the 30s), it's at least not 40s and 50s like the weekend. It does look as though a small Low pressure will graze southern New England Wednesday, providing a light shot of snow (perhaps a few inches in southern VT/NH). Then another cold front will bring snow showers/squalls Thursday, along with a much colder shot of air for the end of the work week. This looks like a similar cold shot as a couple of weeks ago when temperatures dipped well below zero, BUT we likely won't see the thermometers dip to the 20s below zero like last time ...why not? Well, a lack of snow pack! That will help moderate the air at least a little (we'll probable still see single digits on either side of zero widespread Friday morning).
We won't escape that long, though... Early next week also looks colder, with perhaps the coldest shot of Arctic air yet this season… single digits for daytime highs anyone??