My previous blog for the ski forecast was much better than the one I am about to write, but nonetheless I don't think it will be a terrible weekend by any means.
We have our, what seems to be annual, January thaw peaking this weekend based on our latest weather forecast and discussion. As a reminder you can find that latest weather information here:
http://www.fox44abc22yourvoice.com/weather
Here is what we can expect for ski conditions as of Friday morning, January 11, 2013:
| VERMONT |
Snow last 2 days |
Trail open |
Conditions |
Base Depth |
| Bolton Valley |
1" |
66/70 |
Packed Powder |
15-45" |
| Bromley |
-- |
46/46 |
Packed Powder |
18-38" |
| Burke |
1" |
56/56 |
Packed Powder |
14-30" |
| Jay Peak |
2" |
77/78 |
Packed Powder | 20-50" |
| Killington |
2" |
137/140 |
Packed Powder | 36-42" |
| Mad River Glen |
-- |
45/45 |
Packed Powder | 20-43" |
| Magic |
-- |
39/43 |
Variable-PP |
15-34" |
| Middlebury Snow Bowl |
-- |
17/17 |
Packed Powder | 12-32" |
| Mt Snow |
-- |
78/80 |
Packed Powder | 24-40" |
| Okemo |
-- |
114/119 |
Packed Powder | 24-32" |
| Pico |
2" |
53/53 |
Packed Powder | 24-36" |
| Quechee Club |
-- |
9/13 |
PP-Hard Pack |
24-30" |
| Smuggs |
2" |
78/78 |
Packed Powder | 20-50" |
| Stowe |
1" |
109/116 |
Packed Powder | 30-50" |
| Stratton |
-- |
89/95 |
Packed Powder | 27-42" |
| Sugarbush |
-- |
111/111 |
Packed Powder | 20-50" |
| Suicide Six |
-- |
22/23 |
PP-Wet Granular |
6-25" |
I couldn't fit New York and New Hampshire ski resorts in this box, but wanted to let you know the resorts are reporting 80-95% trails open, loose granular to packed powder conditions, and snow depths of roughly 18-36".
Here's the outlook for this weekend (January 11-13, 2013). The strongest of the ongoing January thaw will peak Saturday and Sunday. A period of 48-72 hours will feature temperatures remaining above freezing, foggy and more saturated conditions at times, as well as a few light rain showers. I don't anticipate any new snow during the weekend. Because of the warmer air coming in aloft, it will eliminate any chance for snow.
I do expect us to make a turn the following week (January 14-18). Colder air will return to the area and the ski resorts will be able to make some of the snow they will lose from their depths. In fact, there are indications of a very strong push of cold air by Thursday/Friday Jan. 17/18 where temperatures may dip below zero and snow squalls possible. We'll wait and see.
Snowmobilers will have spring-like conditions when riding the trails this weekend. Unfortunately in the Champlain Valley, a snow depth as of Friday (Jan.11) ranged from 6-12". A lot of that is going to melt away because the Champlain Valley will be the warmest location during this thaw. A lot of the snow will disappear and we'll be left with spotty ground showing. Areas east and west of the valley will hold onto the snow much easier, both because there is more on the ground and temperatures won't get quite as warm. With the colder air arriving the following week, areas stand the chance to build back up *some* of that melted snow. However at this time I don't anticipate any 'major/significant' snow storms through January 20.
-Meteorologist Steve Glazier
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