We're halfway through October and the weather is throwing more curve balls than CC Sabathia in the ALCS.
Wildly-changing weather is here this month, indicated by a record low (26°) Saturday October 13 for Burlington, followed by a morning temperature of 61° just two days later (Oct. 15). The weather sure can take large swings this time of year.
To start this week, high temperatures will be well-above average. You can click on the images to the left to see projected highs versus average highs for this time of year. Remember, I'm jotting down this blog Monday morning, so those orange numbers are just my projections, not the actual highs. That is of course, unless I nail all of my forecast highs (which usually doesn't happen, but that's okay). Nonetheless it's going to be a very warm start to the week.
We will get a little reality check Tuesday. Cold air will swing into the region and highs will be around 50 instead of closing in on 70. The big drop in temperatures will be short-lived though, as we then bounce back up to above average to close out the middle week of this month.
Let's talk about an Indian Summer! By definition, an Indian Summer has been widely defined as a warm stretch of weather following a widespread freeze across the area. It usually comes in October or November. For us, we had our widespread hard freeze Saturday morning. I know it's briefly after, but this week will rise back up into the 60s with sunshine returning Wednesday and Thursday. The temperature outlook through the end of the month is warmer than average.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
However I have a feeling we may see some snowflakes on Halloween. Without looking at meteorological data for that day, I have a hunch we'll have three Halloween's in a row of seeing a few flakes in the Champlain Valley! If you want my entire opinion on the full winter seasonal outlook, see my previous blog here:
http://www.fox44abc22yourvoice.com/story/19803943/101212-steves-forecast-below-avg-snow
-Meteorologist Steve Glazier
