10.1.12 It All Averages Out - FOX44 - Burlington / Plattsburgh News, Weather & Sports

Kerrin Jeromin

10.1.12 It All Averages Out

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‘Tis the season for ups and downs and roller coaster rides in the world of weather. It's October! October is one of those "transition months", if you will. It's a month where it's still fair game to see thunderstorms and warm temperatures, but where snow can also make an appearance. And indeed, this month seems to be no different.

For starters, **snow** has already graced the peak of Mount Washington on Monday morning. Just about an inch of new snow/sleet fell, with enough stick to make a mini-snowman! Really! Here's the photo of the day from Mt Washington Observatory (below). Remember, Mt. Washington's summit is at elevation 6,288' and tends to see much different weather like this as compared to the valleys.

and a photo from an old college friend (and snow lover, I might add) who was in his glory at the Mount Washington Observatory Monday. (below)

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Now on that note, the rest of this week, we'll be talking about warmer than average temperatures as a push of warm, moist air moves in from the southern Gulf states by midweek. This, oh by the way, will bring enough "oomph" to create a few thunderstorms around the northeast... Temperatures will not be quite at record warmth (most daily records stand in the lower 80s for this time of year in our region), but we will make a solid run at the lower and mid 70s by Wednesday and Thursday!

Then the ride continues by the Columbus Day holiday. As it looks right now (Monday evening), and this is something that I saw as a possibility late last week in the weather models, a push of rather cold air will dig down across the northern central US by late this week, and make a crawl toward our region by Sunday and Columbus Day Monday. Temperatures in the middle atmosphere will fall easily below freezing, gracing our mountain tops with sub-freezing conditions (and if any moisture is around, potentially a little SNOW?! We'll see there... no promises yet). And it looks like the valley locales will take a swing into the 40s and 50s for daytime temperatures, while 30s are common at night.

It's all a matter of balance. The ups and downs are typical, and it all averages out! It comes with the territory of living in the northeast, particularly New England and update New York. As we head into October, take a looks at where the "average" temperatures tend to go. Naturally, we get colder as days get shorter and nights get longer. And oh yes, need I remind you, we can definitely get snow in October in the valleys (as happened last year, and the year before that! ) See the 6-14 day outlook in the video above.

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This blog is more of the 1 month extended outlook. The Climate Prediction Center still has the entire northeast in a warmer than average streak right through the end of the year. See meteorologist Steve Glazier's blog on that by clicking here- you'll learn more about the past 18 months of ABOVE average temperatures in our region!

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