From Meteorologist Steve Glazier,
It has been a busy week in terms of weather and it will continue into the weekend. Tuesday we had remnants of Isaac in the form of heavy rain, with Enosburg Falls and Jay Peak Vermont reporting more than six inches of rain! Then it was some isolated, but strong thunderstorms Thursday. Now it will be more heavy rain, thunderstorms, and strong wind Saturday evening/night.
Here's the latest with what to expect:
All day Saturday winds will be strengthening from the south at 10-15 mph to begin the day, then 15-25 mph by the end of the day. However those are just sustained numbers, the gusts could reach 40-50 mph!
Those numbers above are run on a local model here at the Sky Tracker Weather Center and show just the sustained numbers, not the gusts. Again gusts will reach higher than that.
HEAVY RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT
I'm expecting heavy rain to move through Saturday night. There will be some embedded thunderstorms and heavy rain as a 6-hour period, between roughly 7 p.m. and 1 a.m., will produce about 0.50"-1.00."
This is an estimate of total rainfall by Sunday morning. I ran this Friday morning, but I also ran the same model Thursday morning (24 hours prior) and the rain estimate has gone DOWN. That's good news as I don't want to hear of any flooding, however with these events we can get localized higher amounts. In this particular event, we could get up to 2.00."
Areas that should watch for this in particular *Adirondacks and northwest Vermont*. This is because we had heavy rain earlier in the week and on Thursday, the ground is pretty moist, and I feel this area has the best chance to see heavy rain Saturday night. I don't expect widespread flooding by any means, but localized downpours could produce brief flash flooding in poor drainage areas or along low-lying fields, etc.
You can always stay up to date with the latest discussion, details, and weather warnings at the link below!
This will move out by Sunday morning and the second half of the weekend certainly looks better than the first half. We'll provide updates on www.facebook.com/fox44localnews as well. Stay safe everyone and adhere to any weather alerts!
- Steve Glazier