Here's the radar image from 10:45 a.m. Friday as rain and lightning moves through northern New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire.
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The rain and lightning is moving mainly west to east. It is moving slightly south too. It's moving quickly, at roughly 45 miles per hour. This rain and thunder will likely stay along VT Route 2 and areas north. I did a quick estimate of timing on this batch of rain.
If it holds together and continues at the same pace, it will be out of Plattsburgh around 1 p.m., Burlington 1:30 p.m., and St. Johnsbury, VT at 2:45 p.m. However more showers and an isolated thunderstorm could pop up behind that.
There is lightning within this batch of rain too, as well as heavy downpours. So head indoors and wait out the storm inside please! Now concerning the fairs, we'll have a lot of people outside today. Between the Vermont State Fair kicking off, and day # 7 for the Champlain Valley Fair, I'd like everyone to stay safe! Through 2 p.m. it will be iffy for the Champlain Valley Fair. After that more rain could develop around 5pm-8pm and I know the demolition derby is happening. So it's up in the air, about a 40% chance of rain. The Vermont State Fair will be in better shape, but still a chance of rain as the midway opens at 5 p.m. I would say Rutland has a 30% chance of rain/storms this evening. I wouldn't cancel plans, but please keep an eye to the sky and radar!
The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT released a short term forecast for this batch of rain:
The words within the blue box say the heaviest thunderstorm will be near St. Albans Bay around 11 a.m. and East Fairfield, VT around 11:30 a.m.
The Storm Prediction Center has our area in a "Slight Risk for Severe Weather" through tonight. Here is the link to that web site if you want to read more detail of what may happen this afternoon:
Long story short, the SPC put us in the following categories: Chance of a tornado, 2%. Chance of large hail, 15%. Chance of damaging winds, 15%. While this first batch of rain will move through around lunchtime, more could fire up behind it. You can track the foul weather on the iRadar link above, or follow us on Twitter and Facebook.
Stay safe! - Meteorologist Steve Glazier