August 2012 is continuing the Congo line. Its stepping up to the bat as the other months before it has: WARM!
This data is for the Burlington International Airport in South Burlington, Vermont. Temperatures have averaged about:
We have gotten some needed rain in the last few weeks though. The year has been pretty dry but some towns are starting to make up ground as of late.
AUGUST 2012 SO FAR....
Burlington, VT: 2.31" (+0.57")
Springfield, VT: 2.07" (+0.43")
Montpelier, VT: 2.26" (+0.33")
Bennington, VT: 1.78" (-0.05")
Massena, NY: 1.25" (-0.30")
Saranac Lake, NY: (-0.33")
St. Johnsbury, VT: 1.69" (-0.34")
Morrisville, VT: 1.42" (-0.38")
So while some towns have been catching up on the rain deficit, more have actually gotten a little drier this month so far. However the weather pattern will remain fairly active through August 17 which will give towns multiple chances to get some rain via showers.
This August has been warm largely due in part to a pretty strong high pressure centered across the Atlantic. If you recall, this is a similar setup to what we saw during the winter. It would drive incoming storms to our northwest and keep us in the 'warm sector' of the system. This happened December, January, and February and the data from Burlington shows the temperature averaged about +6° during that time frame, fairly close to what we're seeing now.
When will this warm streak end? Well I personally think the November/December timeframe. I think until then we'll see temperatures range from 2-4° warmer than average per month. However my thought is the upcoming winter will be at average, with a couple months slightly below by a degree or so.
The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center has our area at an 'average chance' or 'equal chance' for below or above average temperatures. In other words we should stay just about average through the end of the month. The three month outlook, taking us into November, has our area in above-average levels. We'll see if I'm right after that!
-Meteorologist Steve Glazier