Nothing is guaranteed in the world of weather, or else I'd be out of a job because then we would know exactly how the weather is going to pan out. However the statistic that I'm about to tell you is 99% likely to stay true for the rest of this month.
June 2012 will be another warmer-than-average month for the Burlington International Airport. As we stand right now, here are the statistics:
Burlington Temperatures Through June 27, 2012
Our SkyTracker weather forecast is calling for 80s in the Burlington area for the rest of June, with lows in the 60s. Both the high and low will be above average, making it an almost 'guaranteed' chance we'll have that 15th month in a row of warmer-than-average temperatures.
Come Sunday this will break another record in the Queen City. The longest stretch of above-average-temperatures Burlington has had is 14 consecutive months. One instance happened in the 1990s and the other is happening now. May 2012 tied the record and June will break it.
Here is data from Burlington regarding high and low temperatures. Let's start with the bottom picture just above here. That's the observed highs and lows. Look up to the next box. That one shows the departure from average. The red boxes on top show warmer-than-average observations. On the flip side, the blue boxes show cooler than average observations. Notice how much more red there has been this month than blue.
Above is the last year's worth of data for Burlington. The top box shows the observations relative to the average. Again, there is much more red than blue, showing how warm this past year has been. The middle box is something different. It's the running average. So that takes the last 30 days and compares it to average. The data changes each day with new data coming in. The running average never dropped below average! In fact, overall this past year has been about five degrees warmer than the average, which the average is based on 30 years of data 1981-2010.
I won't get into the discussion of what's causing the warmer than average temperatures for the sake of time, but will touch on it in another blog.
-Meteorologist Steve Glazier